Effect of Reasons for Re/by-election on Voting Participation and Outcomes: An Empirical Examination of Re/by-elections for the Korean National Assembly after Democratization

Important links

Abstract

This study focuses on the reasons for re/by-election as a factor influencing voting participation and the results of the Korean National Assembly re/by-election after democratization. Existing research examines the re/by-election of a National Assembly as a kind of complementary and subordinate election to national elections, employing the midterm evaluation model, the election campaign model, or the turnout model. This paper argues that voters will participate in and vote in order to hold those responsible for re/by-elections accountable. According to the findings, voters are more likely to vote when incumbents resign due to illegal behavior than when incumbents resign for personal reasons. Furthermore, when an incumbent party re-appoints a candidate for a re/by-election despite previous incumbents resigning due to illegal behavior, voters are more likely to reject that party’s candidate. Using a new variable of the reason for the re/by-election, this study demonstrates that voters participate in and choose to vote in order to hold the political elite accountable for the re/by-election.

Important figures

Figure 1: Distribution of Dependent Variable

Figure 2: Predicted Values of Voting Turnout by the Reasons of Re/by Elections

Figure 3: Predicted Probabilities of Re/by Electoral Outcomes by the Reasons

BibTeX citation

@article{park2022,
    Author = {Sanghoon Park},
    Doi = {10.30992/KPSR.2022.09.21.3.41},
    Journal = {Korean Party Studies Review},
    Number = {3},
    Pages = {41--80},
    Title = {Effect of Reasons for Re/by-election on Voting Participation and Outcomes: An Empirical Examination of Re/by-elections for the Korean National Assembly after Democratization},
    Volume = {21},
    Year = {2022}}